Archives des Monday’s paper - Le site de Bernard Guetta

Europe • France • presidential election

July 8, 2026

Time is running out in Paris

The centrists, the Greens, the social democrats, and the right-wing parties are all so effectively splitting the democratic vote in their bid to win it over that the first round…

European Union • Putin • Russia • Ukraine

June 22, 2026

When and how to restart talks with the Kremlin

With the European Union and the United Kingdom on one side, and the Russian Federation on the other, it is no longer the two Cold War blocs that stand face…

Israel • Palestine • Two-State Solution

June 15, 2026

Palestine, Israel and France

Peace necessarily requires mutual recognition of Palestine and Israel – because otherwise what else?

Putin • Russia • Ukraine

June 8, 2026

The post-Putin era

When this long and grim chapter of history ends for this dictator, the entire Putinist ideology will crumble, because the exhaustion of this system has now erased its initial triumph.

Africa • China • European Union

May 31, 2026

Europe’s future is Africa, Africa’s future is Europe

Either we allow Chinese industry to gain such a foothold in Africa that we will soon no longer have the means to counter it, not even in Europe, or we…

Putin must deal with Europe now, not with America

European Union • Putin • Russia • Trump • Ukraine

May 25, 2026

Putin must deal with Europe now, not with America

The Kremlin is now quite openly declaring itself ready for talks with Europe, as Donald Trump is no longer in a position to force a surrender on Kyiv, whilst the…

China • European Union • Russia • Trump • United States

May 18, 2026

One century, four powers

In the aftermath of the First World War, we knew that the United States would dominate the 20th century because it had just asserted its pre-eminence over the two superpowers…

democracy • election • Europe • Great Britain

May 11, 2026

Democrats must now stand as one single united front against the far right

Against the far right, the time for cordons sanitaires is over. The time has come for full unity among democrats, and whoever faces the Rassemblement Naitonal in the second round…

European Union • Iran • Russia • Trump • Ukraine • United States

May 6, 2026

The Five Dangers of an Iranian Defeat

As incongruous as it may seem, let’s ask ourselves the question. Whose defeat should we hope for? That of the Iranian regime or that of Donald Trump?

enlargement • European Union • Ukraine • war • Zelensky

April 28, 2026

Ukraine’s true place

Sorry, Mr Zelensky, but the answer is no. We are sorry to have to tell you this, but no, Mr President, Ukraine cannot become a full member of the Union…

Europe • Hormuz • Iran • oil • summit

April 20, 2026

Europe and the End of the American World

It is a moment that history will remember. Standing behind carefully aligned microphones, the German Chancellor, the French President and the heads of the Italian and British governments explained, last…

democracy • Hungary • Trump • Viktor Orbán

April 13, 2026

Donald Trump’s defeat in Hungary

The relief is immense, but there is still a great deal of work to be done. Viktor Orbán’s defeat is cause for celebration, as Hungary can now emerge from a…

Iran • Japan • Korea • Trump • United States • war

April 6, 2026

The End of the American World

These are countries where, until very recently, it would have been unthinkable to voice even the slightest criticism of the United States. Entirely dependent on American protection against North Korea…

Iran • Middle East • Trump • United States

March 29, 2026

Trump has no cards left to play

In Iran, Donald Trump is left with nothing but bad options.

European Union • NATO • Trump • United States

March 23, 2026

While you destroy, sir, we build

We won't, either. We will not forget, Mr. Trump, the way you called us “cowards” and threatened to hold it against us that we refused to go to war by your side. We will not forget it because the fury and rudeness to which you gave in there speak all too clearly of what we are in your eyes. To…

Iran • Middle East • peace • Trump • United States • war

March 17, 2026

What Iran needs is not more soldiers, but more political wisdom

Before oil prices hit new highs and the polls predict he will lose both Houses in the November elections, Donald Trump may still want to salvage what he can. He may declare victory and withdraw his troops, but what would happen afterwards in the Middle East?

Défense européenne • France • Iran • United States

March 10, 2026

Iran, Europe and the intellectual laziness

Not only are Europeans far from being passive, but, by coincidence, it was on the third day of this war that Emmanuel Macron solemnly proposed extending French nuclear deterrence to those EU countries that wished it.

Iran • Khamenei • Middle East • Trump • United States • war

March 2, 2026

The era of international law has ended in the sky above Iran

Why lament the fact that the Islamist dictator fell at the hands of America, even Trump's America? Because the law of the strongest is now promoted by both the White House and the Kremlin.

customs duties • Défense européenne • European Union • Trump • United States

February 24, 2026

Nothing is more dangerous than a cornered Trump

Some will conclude that the Supreme Court has just demonstrated the strength of American democracy and its checks and balances. They will say that there was no reason to despair of the United States and even less reason to bury the Atlantic Alliance, since it is clear that Trump will ultimately have been nothing more […]

Défense européenne • European Union • Marco Rubio • NATO • Trump • United States

February 16, 2026

Bazooka, and then a smile

This time, Donald Trump sent his Secretary of State Marco Rubio to Munich, a man polite enough to say that the United States was Europe's child, that it wanted Europe to be strong and wanted to ‘revitalise’ the Atlantic Alliance rather than break it up. But why had the American president changed tack?

European Union • Trump • United States

February 10, 2026

That America is no longer our ally

That America is no longer our ally. Whether temporary or lasting, it is now our adversary, and we must say so because we can no longer allow the values we once shared to be debased, nor can we delay in organizing the countries that want to resist this step backwards.

China • Europe • European Union • trade

February 2, 2026

United against Trump and Putin, Europe must develop a common industrial policy to counter China

Before jumping on the first flight to Beijing, we would have to define a common basis for negotiations with China and do so without wasting any time.

Défense européenne • European Union

January 26, 2026

Europeans, one more effort!

We need to act, not talk, and the first thing to do would be to organize, as Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney has just called for, a network of medium-sized powers that refuse to be vassals of China or the United States.