Archives des Monday’s paper - Le site de Bernard Guetta

European Union • Iran • Russia • Trump • Ukraine • United States

May 6, 2026

The Five Dangers of an Iranian Defeat

As incongruous as it may seem, let’s ask ourselves the question. Whose defeat should we hope for? That of the Iranian regime or that of Donald Trump?

enlargement • European Union • Ukraine • war • Zelensky

April 28, 2026

Ukraine’s true place

Sorry, Mr Zelensky, but the answer is no. We are sorry to have to tell you this, but no, Mr President, Ukraine cannot become a full member of the Union…

Europe • Hormuz • Iran • oil • summit

April 20, 2026

Europe and the End of the American World

It is a moment that history will remember. Standing behind carefully aligned microphones, the German Chancellor, the French President and the heads of the Italian and British governments explained, last…

democracy • Hungary • Trump • Viktor Orbán

April 13, 2026

Donald Trump’s defeat in Hungary

The relief is immense, but there is still a great deal of work to be done. Viktor Orbán’s defeat is cause for celebration, as Hungary can now emerge from a…

Iran • Japan • Korea • Trump • United States • war

April 6, 2026

The End of the American World

These are countries where, until very recently, it would have been unthinkable to voice even the slightest criticism of the United States. Entirely dependent on American protection against North Korea…

Iran • Middle East • Trump • United States

March 29, 2026

Trump has no cards left to play

In Iran, Donald Trump is left with nothing but bad options.

European Union • NATO • Trump • United States

March 23, 2026

While you destroy, sir, we build

We won't, either. We will not forget, Mr. Trump, the way you called us “cowards” and threatened to hold it against us that we refused to go to war by…

Iran • Middle East • peace • Trump • United States • war

March 17, 2026

What Iran needs is not more soldiers, but more political wisdom

Before oil prices hit new highs and the polls predict he will lose both Houses in the November elections, Donald Trump may still want to salvage what he can. He…

Défense européenne • France • Iran • United States

March 10, 2026

Iran, Europe and the intellectual laziness

Not only are Europeans far from being passive, but, by coincidence, it was on the third day of this war that Emmanuel Macron solemnly proposed extending French nuclear deterrence to…

Iran • Khamenei • Middle East • Trump • United States • war

March 2, 2026

The era of international law has ended in the sky above Iran

Why lament the fact that the Islamist dictator fell at the hands of America, even Trump's America? Because the law of the strongest is now promoted by both the White…

customs duties • Défense européenne • European Union • Trump • United States

February 24, 2026

Nothing is more dangerous than a cornered Trump

Some will conclude that the Supreme Court has just demonstrated the strength of American democracy and its checks and balances. They will say that there was no reason to despair…

Défense européenne • European Union • Marco Rubio • NATO • Trump • United States

February 16, 2026

Bazooka, and then a smile

This time, Donald Trump sent his Secretary of State Marco Rubio to Munich, a man polite enough to say that the United States was Europe's child, that it wanted Europe…

European Union • Trump • United States

February 10, 2026

That America is no longer our ally

That America is no longer our ally. Whether temporary or lasting, it is now our adversary, and we must say so because we can no longer allow the values we…

China • Europe • European Union • trade

February 2, 2026

United against Trump and Putin, Europe must develop a common industrial policy to counter China

Before jumping on the first flight to Beijing, we would have to define a common basis for negotiations with China and do so without wasting any time.

Défense européenne • European Union

January 26, 2026

Europeans, one more effort!

We need to act, not talk, and the first thing to do would be to organize, as Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney has just called for, a network of medium-sized powers that refuse to be vassals of China or the United States.

Défense européenne • European Union • Greenland • Trump • United States

January 19, 2026

Trump’s follies, Europe’s strength

Sending European troops to Greenland, even if only symbolic, carries much more weight than is being said. It means that we would be prepared to defend, with arms in hand, the sovereignty of this European country against any attempt at annexation by force.

Iran • Iraq • Israel • Middle East • Saudi Arabia • Türkiye

January 12, 2026

The reshaping of the Middle East

In the coming days or months, they will fall. After a moment of wild happiness, Iran will have to rebuild itself, while the entire Middle East will be reshaped. The fall of this dictatorship will not open the gates of paradise, but yes, it will fall, and so much the better, because all it has got left is weapons.

democracy • Iran • liberty

January 3, 2026

Iran needs a Spanish-style transition

This is the agony of a dictatorship. Perhaps it will be long and painful. Perhaps, on the contrary, in the coming days we will see the sudden collapse of the Iranian theocracy that so quickly hijacked the democratic revolution of 1979.

Putin • Russia • Trump • Ukraine

December 23, 2025

Don’t bet on Trump

Donald Trump could win. We cannot rule out the possibility that he could end up forcing Ukraine to surrender and agreeing with Vladimir Putin to divide Europe into zones of influence, but it is still only a possibility and not fact.

European Union • security • Trump • United States

December 8, 2025

The four reasons for their hostility

Why are we their only target? Why does Donald Trump's United States believe, in its presentation of its National Security Strategy, that it must ‘cultivate resistance' to 'Europe's current trajectory’ even though it says it wants to repudiate all American ‘interventionism’ from the Cold War and post-communism?

Europe • Putin • Russia • Trump • Ukraine • United States

December 2, 2025

Russia, US, EU, Ukraine: Who wants, fears and rejects what?

There are four parties in this war, but only two sides. Ukrainians, Russians, Americans and Europeans each have their own objectives and red lines, but the convergence of Russian and American ambitions is further consolidating the bloc formed by the European Union and Ukraine.

European Union • France • Great Britain • Putin • Russia • Trump • Ukraine • United States

November 24, 2025

Europe needs political leadership

This American “peace plan” calls on us Europeans to abandon the idea that the United States will always be our ally and to equip ourselves with political leadership that is not limited to the Union.

Canada • democracy • Europe • European Union • Trump • United States

November 17, 2025

Trumpism creates its own antidote

Canadians are seeking allies, against Trump of course. Europeans are doing the same, which is why parliamentarians from the European Union, Canada and the United Kingdom met last Friday in Toronto to lay the foundations for an international movement to defend democracy.