Archives des Monday’s paper - Le site de Bernard Guetta

Iran • Iraq • Israel • Middle East • Saudi Arabia • Türkiye

January 12, 2026

The reshaping of the Middle East

In the coming days or months, they will fall. After a moment of wild happiness, Iran will have to rebuild itself, while the entire Middle East will be reshaped. The…

democracy • Iran • liberty

January 3, 2026

Iran needs a Spanish-style transition

This is the agony of a dictatorship. Perhaps it will be long and painful. Perhaps, on the contrary, in the coming days we will see the sudden collapse of the…

Putin • Russia • Trump • Ukraine

December 23, 2025

Don’t bet on Trump

Donald Trump could win. We cannot rule out the possibility that he could end up forcing Ukraine to surrender and agreeing with Vladimir Putin to divide Europe into zones of…

European Union • security • Trump • United States

December 8, 2025

The four reasons for their hostility

Why are we their only target? Why does Donald Trump's United States believe, in its presentation of its National Security Strategy, that it must ‘cultivate resistance' to 'Europe's current trajectory’…

Europe • Putin • Russia • Trump • Ukraine • United States

December 2, 2025

Russia, US, EU, Ukraine: Who wants, fears and rejects what?

There are four parties in this war, but only two sides. Ukrainians, Russians, Americans and Europeans each have their own objectives and red lines, but the convergence of Russian and…

European Union • France • Great Britain • Putin • Russia • Trump • Ukraine • United States

November 24, 2025

Europe needs political leadership

This American “peace plan” calls on us Europeans to abandon the idea that the United States will always be our ally and to equip ourselves with political leadership that is…

Canada • democracy • Europe • European Union • Trump • United States

November 17, 2025

Trumpism creates its own antidote

Canadians are seeking allies, against Trump of course. Europeans are doing the same, which is why parliamentarians from the European Union, Canada and the United Kingdom met last Friday in…

European Union • France

November 11, 2025

“Very well, and you?”

By caricaturing yesterday's battles, the left is failing to fight today's battles, which the centre is also failing to fight, and we are surprised at the rise of the far…

Canada • China • Russia • Trump • Ukraine • United States

November 3, 2025

Donald Trump short of allies

With his back against the wall, he has regained his memory. Confronted with China, which forced him to back down on tariffs by threatening to ban exports of rare earth…

European Union • Putin • Russia • Trump

October 27, 2025

If I were him, I would be worried

The red lights are going off in the Kremlin. Once supported by military orders, Russia's economic growth is now slowing down and seems set to reach zero. Consumer prices, meanwhile,…

Gen Z • movement • reform

October 20, 2025

Don’t despair, Gen Z is coming!

Eleven countries in one year is no longer just a coincidence. Eleven countries being shaken by the same generation, driven by the same injustices, is a phenomenon, and it is…

France • Lecornu • Macron

October 13, 2025

Left and centre

What if this crisis paved the way for a rapprochement between the left and the centre? It is only a possibility, a fragile, weak and uncertain one, but let us…

Défense européenne • European Union • Putin • Putin • Russia • Ukraine

October 7, 2025

Europe is already much more than just a market

When we see that we are still debating whether or not to shoot down Russian aircraft that enter our airspace, when a European summit ends without a clear warning being…

European Union • Israel • Palestine • Russia • Trump • Ukraine • United States

October 1, 2025

Trump backtracking

America will soon need friends to stand up to China. Donald Trump is learning to understand that Europe, which he detests, is simply indispensable.

European Union • Russia • Trump • Ukraine • United States

September 23, 2025

I have never heard Americans place their hopes in Europe before

When a senior official in the new American diplomatic service explained to me in his Washington office that the danger to European democracies came not from what I had called “Russian autocracy”, but from the democracies themselves — their censorship, the annulment of the Romanian elections, and the repression of their opponents — I first thought I was having a…

Israel • Israel • Macron • Netanyahou • Palestine • Two-State Solution

September 14, 2025

To defend Palestine is to defend Israel

Like half of Israelis and a large proportion of Jews in Europe and America, Emmanuel Macron believes that only by doing justice to the Palestinians can Israel ensure its long-term survival.

European Union • France

September 8, 2025

French people, one more effort!

Dear French people, no, not only are France and the rest of Europe not dead yet, but on the contrary: our continent is regaining its political vitality.

common European defence • European Union • Russia • Trump • Ukraine • United States

August 29, 2025

A new power, Europe, has won its first battle against Donald Trump

On 18 August in Washington, Donald Trump had to deal - at least for the time being - with seven European leaders and accept the idea of security guarantees for Ukraine.

European Union • Putin • Russia • Trump • United States

July 7, 2025

The Western mote and the Russian beam

Is he making the same mistake he made three years ago? In 2022, Vladimir Putin only invaded Ukraine after he had convinced himself that neither the United States nor the European Union would do anything to thwart his plans.

Iran • Israel • Israel • Netanyahou • Trump

June 30, 2025

The landscape after the battle

Will this ‘12-day war’ in Iran and Israel have transformed Donald Trump? Will Netanyahu continue to govern with the far right? How have the bombings change the Iranian power dynamics?

democracy • Iran

June 22, 2025

Iran, the country of informed citizens

Iran is the "par excellence" country of politically well-informed, well-trained citizens. To avoid bloody chaos, all that is needed is for the most respected reformers and dissidents to call together for a peaceful transition allowing for the formation of a political spectrum and the organisation of free elections. Time is running out. It is a matter of days.

Iraq • Israel • Middle East • Netanyahou • Palestine • Syria • Two-State Solution

June 16, 2025

Victorious, Netanyahu must now choose

Benjamin Netanyahu now has everything he needs to transform himself into a man of peace, as he will soon have won on all fronts.

Elon Musk • TACO • Trump • United States

June 8, 2025

Merci, Musk

Thank you to this drug-addicted, megalomaniac brute, thank you to the man who thought he could reduce the US deficit by relying on a bunch of prepubescent imbeciles, thank you to the embodiment of the power of money, yes, thank you to this deeply detestable man, because thanks to him, Trump is finally seen for what he is: a grotesque,…