Archives des Monday’s paper - Le site de Bernard Guetta

Iran • Middle East • peace • Trump • United States • war

March 17, 2026

What Iran needs is not more soldiers, but more political wisdom

Before oil prices hit new highs and the polls predict he will lose both Houses in the November elections, Donald Trump may still want to salvage what he can. He…

Défense européenne • France • Iran • United States

March 10, 2026

Iran, Europe and the intellectual laziness

Not only are Europeans far from being passive, but, by coincidence, it was on the third day of this war that Emmanuel Macron solemnly proposed extending French nuclear deterrence to…

Iran • Khamenei • Middle East • Trump • United States • war

March 2, 2026

The era of international law has ended in the sky above Iran

Why lament the fact that the Islamist dictator fell at the hands of America, even Trump's America? Because the law of the strongest is now promoted by both the White…

customs duties • Défense européenne • European Union • Trump • United States

February 24, 2026

Nothing is more dangerous than a cornered Trump

Some will conclude that the Supreme Court has just demonstrated the strength of American democracy and its checks and balances. They will say that there was no reason to despair…

Défense européenne • European Union • Marco Rubio • NATO • Trump • United States

February 16, 2026

Bazooka, and then a smile

This time, Donald Trump sent his Secretary of State Marco Rubio to Munich, a man polite enough to say that the United States was Europe's child, that it wanted Europe…

European Union • Trump • United States

February 10, 2026

That America is no longer our ally

That America is no longer our ally. Whether temporary or lasting, it is now our adversary, and we must say so because we can no longer allow the values we…

China • Europe • European Union • trade

February 2, 2026

United against Trump and Putin, Europe must develop a common industrial policy to counter China

Before jumping on the first flight to Beijing, we would have to define a common basis for negotiations with China and do so without wasting any time.

Défense européenne • European Union

January 26, 2026

Europeans, one more effort!

We need to act, not talk, and the first thing to do would be to organize, as Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney has just called for, a network of medium-sized…

Défense européenne • European Union • Greenland • Trump • United States

January 19, 2026

Trump’s follies, Europe’s strength

Sending European troops to Greenland, even if only symbolic, carries much more weight than is being said. It means that we would be prepared to defend, with arms in hand,…

Iran • Iraq • Israel • Middle East • Saudi Arabia • Türkiye

January 12, 2026

The reshaping of the Middle East

In the coming days or months, they will fall. After a moment of wild happiness, Iran will have to rebuild itself, while the entire Middle East will be reshaped. The…

democracy • Iran • liberty

January 3, 2026

Iran needs a Spanish-style transition

This is the agony of a dictatorship. Perhaps it will be long and painful. Perhaps, on the contrary, in the coming days we will see the sudden collapse of the…

Putin • Russia • Trump • Ukraine

December 23, 2025

Don’t bet on Trump

Donald Trump could win. We cannot rule out the possibility that he could end up forcing Ukraine to surrender and agreeing with Vladimir Putin to divide Europe into zones of…

European Union • security • Trump • United States

December 8, 2025

The four reasons for their hostility

Why are we their only target? Why does Donald Trump's United States believe, in its presentation of its National Security Strategy, that it must ‘cultivate resistance' to 'Europe's current trajectory’…

Europe • Putin • Russia • Trump • Ukraine • United States

December 2, 2025

Russia, US, EU, Ukraine: Who wants, fears and rejects what?

There are four parties in this war, but only two sides. Ukrainians, Russians, Americans and Europeans each have their own objectives and red lines, but the convergence of Russian and…

European Union • France • Great Britain • Putin • Russia • Trump • Ukraine • United States

November 24, 2025

Europe needs political leadership

This American “peace plan” calls on us Europeans to abandon the idea that the United States will always be our ally and to equip ourselves with political leadership that is not limited to the Union.

Canada • democracy • Europe • European Union • Trump • United States

November 17, 2025

Trumpism creates its own antidote

Canadians are seeking allies, against Trump of course. Europeans are doing the same, which is why parliamentarians from the European Union, Canada and the United Kingdom met last Friday in Toronto to lay the foundations for an international movement to defend democracy.

European Union • France

November 11, 2025

“Very well, and you?”

By caricaturing yesterday's battles, the left is failing to fight today's battles, which the centre is also failing to fight, and we are surprised at the rise of the far right?

Canada • China • Russia • Trump • Ukraine • United States

November 3, 2025

Donald Trump short of allies

With his back against the wall, he has regained his memory. Confronted with China, which forced him to back down on tariffs by threatening to ban exports of rare earth elements to the United States, Donald Trump suddenly remembered that he had allies who were once referred to as “Western.”

European Union • Putin • Russia • Trump

October 27, 2025

If I were him, I would be worried

The red lights are going off in the Kremlin. Once supported by military orders, Russia's economic growth is now slowing down and seems set to reach zero. Consumer prices, meanwhile, continue to rise. Fears of inflation are keeping interest rates above 20%, a level that is obviously detrimental to investment, but that is not the most serious problem for Vladimir…

Gen Z • movement • reform

October 20, 2025

Don’t despair, Gen Z is coming!

Eleven countries in one year is no longer just a coincidence. Eleven countries being shaken by the same generation, driven by the same injustices, is a phenomenon, and it is a global one.

France • Lecornu • Macron

October 13, 2025

Left and centre

What if this crisis paved the way for a rapprochement between the left and the centre? It is only a possibility, a fragile, weak and uncertain one, but let us explore it because it might change things a lot.

Défense européenne • European Union • Putin • Putin • Russia • Ukraine

October 7, 2025

Europe is already much more than just a market

When we see that we are still debating whether or not to shoot down Russian aircraft that enter our airspace, when a European summit ends without a clear warning being issued to Moscow and without any strong words being spoken, how can we not conclude that we are far too divided and timid to defend ourselves?

European Union • Israel • Palestine • Russia • Trump • Ukraine • United States

October 1, 2025

Trump backtracking

America will soon need friends to stand up to China. Donald Trump is learning to understand that Europe, which he detests, is simply indispensable.